Monsoon changes for 6000 years ago: Results of 18 simulations from the Paleoclimate Modeling Intercomparison Project (PMIP)

S. Joussaume,   K. E. Taylor,   P. Braconnot,
J. F. B. Mitchell,   J. E. Kutzbach,   S.P. Harrison,
I. C. Prentice,   A. J. Broccoli,   A. Abe-Ouchi,
P. J. Bartlein,   C. Bonfils,   B. Dong,
J. Guiot,   K. Herterich,   C. D. Hewitt,
D. Jolly,   J. W. Kim,   A. Kislov,
A. Kitoh,   M. F. Loutre,   V. Masson,
B. McAvaney,   N. McFarlane,   N. de Noblet,
W. R. Peltier,   J.Y. Peterschmitt,   D. Pollard,
D. Rind,  J. F. Royer,   M. E. Schlesinger,
J. Syktus,   S. Thompson,   P. Valdes,
G. Vettoretti,   R. S. Webb,   U. Wyputta

Abstract

Amplification of the northern hemisphere seasonal cycle of insolation during the mid-Holocene causes a northward shift of the main regions of monsoon precipitation over Africa and India in all 18 simulations conducted for the Paleoclimate Modeling Intercomparison Project (PMIP). Differences among simulations are related to differences in model formulation. Despite qualitative agreement with paleoecological estimates of biome shifts, the magnitude of the monsoon increases over northern Africa are underestimated by all the models.


S. Joussaume, P. Braconnot, C. Bonfils, V. Masson, N. de Noblet, J. Y. Peterschmitt,
Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l´Environnement, UMR CEA-CNRS 1572,  CEA Saclay bat 709,
91191 Gif sur Yvette cedex, France  Tel: (33) 1-69-08-77-11 ; Fax: (33) 1-69-08-77-16 ; email: pmipweb@lsce.ipsl.fr

K. E. Taylor, PCMDI, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA 94550, USA
Tel: (510) 423-3623 ; Fax: (510) 422-7675  email: taylor13@llnl.gov

J. Mitchell, C. Hewitt, Hadley Centre, Bracknell, RG12 2SZ, UK.
Tel: (44) 1344-85-6613 ; Fax: (44) 1344-85-6912 ;  email: jfbmitchell@meto.gov.uk

J. E. Kutzbach, Center for Climatic Research, Univ Wisconsin, Madison, WI 53706, USA.
Tel:  (608) 262-2839. FAX: (608) 263-4190  E-mail address: jek@facstaff.wisc.edu

S.P. Harrison, Dynamic Palaeoclimatology, Lund University, Box 117, S-22100 Lund, Sweden
and Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Postfach 10 01 64, D-07701 Jena, Germany.
Tel: 946) 46-222-9773 or 415-22248 ; Fax: (46) 46-222-3635 or 415-22031
email: vxt_saha@luecology.ecol.lu.se

I. C. Prentice, School of Ecology, Lund University, Sslvegatan 37, S-22362 Lund, Sweden and
Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Postfach 10 01 64, D-07701 Jena, Germany.
Tel: (46) 415-22248 ; Fax: (46) 415-22031 ; email: colin@planteco.lu.se

D. Jolly, School of Ecology, Lund University, Sslvegatan 37, S-22362 Lund, Sweden; Dynamic
Palaeoclimatology, Lund University, Box 117, S-22100 Lund, Sweden  and Max Planck
Institute for Biogeochemistry, Postfach 10 01 64, D-07701 Jena, Germany.
Tel: (46) 46-222-3132 ; Fax: (46) 46-222-3742 ;  email: djolly@planteco.lu.se

A. Abe-Ouchi, Center for Climate System Research, Univ. Tokyo, Tokyo 153, Japan.
Tel.:  (81) 3 5453.3972; Fax.: (81) 3 5453.3964   email:  abeouchi@ccsr.u-tokyo.ac.jp

P. J. Bartlein, Dpt. of Geography, Univ. Oregon, Eugene, OR 97403-1251, USA
Tel: (541) 346-4967 ;  Fax: (541) 346-2067 ; email: bartlein@oregon.uoregon.edu

A. J. Broccoli, NOAA/Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton Univ.,
Princeton, NJ 08542, USA. Tel: (609) 452-6671 ; Fax: (609) 987-5063 ; email: ajb@gfdl.gov

B. Dong and P. Valdes, Dpt. of Meteorology, Univ. reading, RG6 6BB, UK.
Tel: (44) 118-931-6517 ; Fax: (44) 118-931-8305  email: P.J.Valdes@reading.ac.uk

J. Guiot, IMEP CNRS, Faculte de St-Jerome, case 451, 13397 Marseille cedex 20, France
 Tel: (33) 4-91-28-80-11 ; Fax: (33) 4-91-28-86-68;  email: JOEL.GUIOT@LBHP.U-3MRS.FR

K. Herterich and U. Wyputta, Univ. Bremen, 28334 Bremen, Germany.
 Tel: (49) 0-421-218-3579 ; Fax: (49) 0-421-218-3116 email: ulli@wyputta.de

J. W. Kim, Yonsei University, Seoul 110-360, Korea.
 Tel: (82) 02-361-2683 ; Fax: (82) 02-365-5163 ; email: jwkim@atmos.yonsei.ac.kr

A. Kislov, Dpt Meteorology and Climatology, Univ. Moscow, 119899 Moscow, Russia.
 Tel: (7) 095-939-2942 ; Fax: (7) 095-932-8836 ;email: kislov@gis.geogr.msu.su

A. Kitoh, Meteorological Research Institute, Tsukuba 305-0052, Japan.
Tel: +81-298-53-8594;  fax: +81-298-55-2552;  email: kitoh@mri-jma.go.jp

M.F. Loutre, Institut d'Astronomie et de Geophysique G. Lemaitre, Universite Catholique de
Louvain, 2 Chemin du Cyclotron,  B-1348 Louvain-la-Neuve, BELGIUM
Tel:  (32) 10 47.3297, Fax.:   (32) 10 47.4722, email:  loutre@astr.ucl.ac.be

B. McAvaney, Bureau of Meteorology Research Centre, Melbourne, Australia.
Tel: (61) 3-9669-4134 ; Fax: (61) 3-9669-4660 ; email: bma@bom.gov.au

N. McFarlane, Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis, Victoria, BC V8W2Y2,
Canada.  Tel: (604) 363-8227; Fax: (604) 363-8247); email: nmcfarlane@uvic.bc.doe.ca

W. R. Peltier and G. Vettoretti, Dpt Atmospheric Science, Univ. of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario,
M5S1A7, Canada   Tel: (416) 978-5213 ; Fax: (416) 978-8905  email: guido@atmosp.physics.utoronto.ca.

D. Pollard and S. Thompson, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder  CO 80307, USA.
 Tel: (814) 865-2022 ; Fax: (814) 865-3191 ; email: pollard@essc.psu.edu

D. Rind, NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, NY10025 , USA.
 Tel.:   1 (212) 678.5593;  Fax.:   1 (212) 678.5552; email:  cddhr@giss.nasa.gov

J. F. Royer, Centre National de Recherches Meterologiques, Meteo-France,31057 Toulouse,
France   Tel: +33 (0)561 07 93 77; fax:    +33 (0)561 07 96 10; e-mail: jean-francois.royer@meteo.fr

M. E. Schlesinger, Dpt Atmospheric Sciences, Univ. Illinois, Urbana IL 61801, USA.
 Tel: (217) 333-2192 ; Fax: (217) 244-4393 ; email: schlesin@crg50.atmos.uiuc.edu

J. Syktus, CSIRO Division of Atmospheric Research, Victoria, and Queensland Centre for
Climate Applications, Department of Natural Resources, Indooroopilly, Qld 4068,
Australia   Tel: (61)-3-9239-4548 ; Fax: (61)-3-9239-4644 ; email:  Jozef.Syktus@dar.csiro.au

R. S. Webb, NOAA Paleoclimatology Program, National Geophysical Data Center, Boulder,
CO 80303, USA.   Tel: (303) 497-6967 ; Fax: (303) 497-6513 ; email: rwebb@ngdc.noaa.gov


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